Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#82
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#82
Pace63.9#268
Improvement+1.1#117

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#89
First Shot+1.2#139
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#56
Layup/Dunks-2.6#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#168
Freethrows+2.3#42
Improvement+4.5#13

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#87
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#259
Layups/Dunks+2.3#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
Freethrows+2.4#46
Improvement-3.4#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 90   New Mexico St. W 64-61 64%     1 - 0 +5.4 -7.8 +13.3
  Nov 20, 2016 95   @ Stanford L 49-56 45%     1 - 1 +0.3 -18.5 +18.7
  Nov 23, 2016 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-65 96%     2 - 1 -2.5 +3.8 -5.2
  Nov 25, 2016 249   SE Louisiana W 67-59 90%     3 - 1 +0.2 -2.4 +3.1
  Nov 27, 2016 290   Alcorn St. W 80-58 93%     4 - 1 +11.3 +12.9 +0.6
  Nov 30, 2016 72   @ Colorado W 72-58 34%     5 - 1 +24.3 +6.0 +18.9
  Dec 03, 2016 9   Wichita St. L 67-82 17%     5 - 2 +1.0 +3.9 -3.3
  Dec 10, 2016 284   Northern Colorado W 81-64 93%     6 - 2 +6.7 +1.7 +4.3
  Dec 17, 2016 30   Kansas St. L 70-89 26%     6 - 3 -6.1 +7.3 -14.4
  Dec 19, 2016 170   Loyola Marymount L 66-69 80%     6 - 4 -5.6 -2.6 -3.2
  Dec 22, 2016 226   @ Long Beach St. L 55-56 77%     6 - 5 -2.5 -17.1 +14.5
  Dec 28, 2016 231   UNLV W 91-77 88%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +7.0 +13.9 -7.4
  Dec 31, 2016 96   @ Boise St. L 73-74 45%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +6.2 +4.9 +1.3
  Jan 04, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. W 76-71 73%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +4.7 +8.7 -3.7
  Jan 07, 2017 215   Air Force W 85-58 87%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +21.0 +10.3 +11.5
  Jan 14, 2017 118   New Mexico L 71-84 72%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -12.9 +0.8 -14.2
  Jan 18, 2017 98   @ Fresno St. L 57-78 46%     9 - 8 3 - 3 -13.9 -7.7 -7.5
  Jan 21, 2017 121   @ Utah St. W 64-56 55%     10 - 8 4 - 3 +12.9 -1.0 +14.6
  Jan 25, 2017 206   San Jose St. W 81-72 86%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +3.6 +7.3 -3.6
  Jan 28, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. W 78-77 40%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +9.8 +26.4 -16.5
  Jan 31, 2017 96   Boise St. L 76-79 65%     12 - 9 6 - 4 -0.8 +9.7 -10.8
  Feb 04, 2017 231   @ UNLV W 69-49 78%     13 - 9 7 - 4 +18.1 +6.1 +14.4
  Feb 07, 2017 121   Utah St. W 69-52 73%     14 - 9 8 - 4 +16.8 +7.5 +12.3
  Feb 11, 2017 98   Fresno St. W 78-62 65%     15 - 9 9 - 4 +18.0 +13.2 +6.0
  Feb 14, 2017 140   @ Wyoming W 78-73 59%     16 - 9 10 - 4 +8.9 +6.7 +2.1
  Feb 21, 2017 118   @ New Mexico W 68-56 54%     17 - 9 11 - 4 +17.2 +6.4 +12.3
  Feb 25, 2017 80   San Diego St. W 56-55 59%     18 - 9 12 - 4 +4.7 +1.4 +3.5
  Feb 28, 2017 140   Wyoming W 78-76 76%     19 - 9 13 - 4 +0.8 +13.8 -12.8
  Mar 04, 2017 54   @ Nevada L 72-85 28%     19 - 10 13 - 5 -0.7 +1.3 -1.7
  Mar 09, 2017 215   Air Force W 81-55 82%     20 - 10 +22.5 +13.4 +11.9
  Mar 10, 2017 80   San Diego St. W 71-63 49%     21 - 10 +14.2 +12.1 +3.0
  Mar 11, 2017 54   Nevada L 71-79 36%     21 - 11 +1.7 +0.3 +1.5
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%